These NCHSAA football teams won the most one-score games in 2023

These NCHSAA football teams won the most one-score games in 2023

Throughout the spring and summer, we’ll be delivering football preview content to HSOT Insiders. Today is a look at the teams that won the most one-score games in the 2023 season.

All football fans know that there is a large amount of variance over year-to-year. At the NFL level, researchers have found that teams who win a high number of close games tend to revert to the mean during the following season. The reverse tends to be true as well.

I’ve decided to track this for North Carolina high school football. I’ve gone through each team’s 2023 results to identify the one-possession finishes (score differences of eight or less points). Next year, we’ll see how these teams performed in close contests in 2024 to see if there is a difference.

Frankly, I don’t know if we’ll see similarities to how close game results change for NFL teams year-to-year. Since this hasn’t been done with high school before, you can look at the teams below from a half glass full perspective or a half glass empty perspective. Maybe some of these teams were consistently lucky in close games last year and that luck will run out this fall. Maybe these victories are entirely a reflection of the quality of the coaching staff and players.

An important caveat: the final score alone is not always going to be indicative of how “close” a game was. In a lot of cases, losing teams score towards the end of the game against backups to make the final score appear closer than it was. Of course, it is still the responsibility of the team ahead to stop the losing team from scoring, so some might not think the garbage time scoring factor should matter. I have not watched every game, so it would not even be possible to factor in the garbage time scoring if I wanted to.

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4A Teams That Won the Most One-Score Games in 2023

  • Watauga (Boone) 5-0
  • Lake Norman (Mooresville) 5-1
  • Mooresville 4-0
  • Athens Drive (Raleigh) 4-1
  • Garner 4-1
  • Holly Springs 4-1
  • Enloe (Raleigh) 3-0
  • Pine Forest (Fayetteville) 3-0
  • Broughton (Raleigh) 3-1
  • East Forsyth (Kernersville) 3-1
  • Hough (Cornelius) 3-1
  • Millbrook (Raleigh) 3-1
  • Page (Greensboro) 3-1
  • Butler (Matthews) 3-2
  • Alexander Central (Taylorsville) 3-3
  • Parkland (Winston-Salem) 3-3

3A Teams That Won the Most One-Score Games in 2023

  • Southern Alamance (Mt. Hermon) 5-1
  • Currituck County (Barco) 4-0
  • Hibriten (Lenoir) 4-0
  • Richlands 4-0
  • Fike (Wilson) 4-1
  • Havelock 3-0
  • Central Davidson (Lexington) 3-1
  • North Gaston (Dallas) 3-1
  • Scotland (Laurinburg) 3-2
  • Statesville 3-2
  • Western Alamance (Elon) 3-2

    2A Teams That Won the Most One-Score Games in 2023

    • Northeastern (Elizabeth City) 5-0
    • Princeton 5-1
    • Bunker Hill (Claremont) 4-0
    • West Wilkes (Miller’s Creek) 4-2
    • SouthWest Edgecombe (Pinetops) 3-0
    • Community School of Davidson 3-1
    • McMichael (Mayodan) 3-1
    • North Pitt (Bethel) 3-1
    • North Stanly (New London) 3-1
    • Anson County (Wadesboro) 3-2
    • Beddingfield (Wilson) 3-2
    • West Lincoln (Lincolnton) 3-3

    1A Teams That Won the Most One-Score Games in 2023

    • North Rowan (Spencer) 4-0
    • Robbinsville 4-0
    • North Duplin (Calypso) 4-2
    • Avery County (Newland) 3-0
    • Murphy 3-1
    • Bishop McGuinness (Kernersville) 3-2
    • Lakewood (Salemburg) 3-2
    • Mountain Island Charter (Mt. Holly) 3-2
    • Swain County (Bryson City) 3-2